Deep depression LIVE: Weather system may intensify into cyclonic storm 'Murasu' in next 6 hours, says IMD
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A developing low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal is expected to intensify into a cyclonic storm by early November 2026. While coastal Andhra Pradesh faces heavy rainfall, the system is projected to weaken significantly before reaching Telangana.
Meteorological Development in the Bay of Bengal
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued alerts regarding a significant weather system currently developing over the South Andaman Sea. A low-pressure area, which initially formed over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, is undergoing rapid intensification. According to the latest data, this system is projected to evolve into a depression and subsequently strengthen into a cyclonic storm as it tracks across the southeast Bay of Bengal.
Projected Path and Intensification
Meteorological models indicate that the system is moving in a west-northwestward direction. Forecasters anticipate the storm will reach the west-central Bay of Bengal, specifically nearing the coast of Andhra Pradesh, by the evening of November 2, 2026. This trajectory is critical, as the system is expected to cross the Andhra Pradesh coast by the morning of November 3, bringing with it the threat of heavy rainfall across the coastal regions of the Southern Peninsula.
Impact on Kerala and Regional Rainfall
After a period of relative dryness, Kerala is set to experience a revival in rainfall activity starting November 1, 2026. The atmospheric instability caused by the developing cyclone in the Bay of Bengal is expected to influence weather patterns across the southern states. This shift highlights the interconnected nature of maritime weather systems and their ability to dictate regional precipitation patterns even at significant distances from the storm's center.
The Outlook for Telangana
While the coastal regions brace for the brunt of the storm, the impact on inland states appears mitigated. S. Stella, Head of the IMD Centre in Hyderabad, has clarified that although the system is expected to intensify into a cyclone over the Bay, it will likely weaken into a deep depression as it moves inland. Consequently, Telangana is not expected to experience the full force of a cyclonic event, though residents should remain vigilant for changing weather conditions.
Broader Implications and Future Trends
This weather event follows closely on the heels of Cyclone Arnab, underscoring the heightened volatility of the post-monsoon season in the Bay of Bengal. The rapid intensification of low-pressure areas into cyclonic storms is a trend closely monitored by climate scientists. As these systems continue to pose challenges for disaster management, the reliance on precise IMD modeling remains essential for protecting coastal infrastructure and agricultural interests in Andhra Pradesh and beyond.
Conclusion
In summary, the meteorological situation remains fluid but well-tracked. While the intensification into a cyclonic storm poses an immediate threat to the Andhra Pradesh coastline, the expected weakening of the system as it moves inland provides a measure of relief for regions like Telangana. Continued monitoring of the IMD bulletins is recommended for all residents in the affected paths as the system approaches its projected landfall.
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